Loss And Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves | Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves The following table presents the activity in loss and loss adjustment expense reserves: Year Ended December 31, 2023 2022 2021 (Amounts in thousands) Gross reserves at January 1 $ 2,584,910 $ 2,226,430 $ 1,991,304 Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses (25,323) (41,379) (54,461) Net reserves at January 1 2,559,587 2,185,051 1,936,843 Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses related to: Current year 3,553,801 3,314,938 2,786,246 Prior years (35,948) 47,281 (26,091) Total incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses 3,517,853 3,362,219 2,760,155 Loss and loss adjustment expense payments related to: Current year 2,080,690 1,862,006 1,601,998 Prior years 1,243,196 1,125,677 909,949 Total payments 3,323,886 2,987,683 2,511,947 Net reserves at December 31 2,753,554 2,559,587 2,185,051 Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 32,148 25,323 41,379 Gross reserves at December 31 $ 2,785,702 $ 2,584,910 $ 2,226,430 During 2022, inflationary trends accelerated to their highest level in decades, which had a significant impact on the cost of automobile parts and labor as well as medical expenses for bodily injuries, and supply chain and labor shortage issues lengthened the time to repair vehicles. Bodily injury costs were also under pressure from social inflation. The severe inflationary trend continued into 2023, but began moderating as the year progressed. These factors contributed to higher losses and loss adjustment expenses related to the current accident year for 2023 and 2022 compared to 2021. The decrease in the provision for insured events of prior years in 2023 of approximately $35.9 million primarily resulted from lower than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the private passenger automobile and homeowners lines of insurance business, partially offset by unfavorable reserve development in the commercial property line of insurance business. The moderating inflationary trend in 2023 relative to 2022 discussed above was the major contributor to the favorable reserve development in the private passenger automobile line of insurance business for 2023. The increase in the provision for insured events of prior years in 2022 of approximately $47.3 million primarily resulted from higher than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the automobile line of insurance business. The inflationary pressures and the supply chain and labor shortage issues discussed above were major contributors to the adverse reserve development in the automobile line of insurance business for 2022. The decrease in the provision for insured events of prior years in 2021 of approximately $26.1 million primarily resulted from lower than estimated losses and loss adjustment expenses in the homeowners and private passenger automobile lines of insurance business. The Company recorded catastrophe losses net of reinsurance of approximately $239 million, $102 million, and $104 million in 2023, 2022, and 2021, respectively. Catastrophe losses due to the events that occurred in 2023 totaled approximately $247 million, w ith no reinsurance benefits used for these losses, resulting primarily from rainstorms and hail in Texas and Oklahoma, winter storms and rainstorms in California, and the impact of Tropical Storm Hilary in California. In addition, the Company experienced favorable development of approximately $8 million on prior years' catastrophe losses in 2023. Catastrophe losses due to the events that occurred in 2022 totaled approximately $101 million, with no reinsurance benefits used for these losses, resulting primarily from the deep freeze of Winter Storm Elliott and other extreme weather events in Texas, Oklahoma and Georgia, winter storms in California, and the impact of Hurricane Ian in Florida. In addition, the Company experienced unfavorable development of approximately $1 million on prior years' catastrophe losses in 2022. Catastrophe losses due to the events that occurred in 2021 totaled approximately $109 million, with no reinsurance benefits used for these losses, resulting primarily from the deep freeze of Winter Storm Uri and other extreme weather events in Texas and Oklahoma, rainstorms, wildfires and winter storms in California, and the impact of Hurricane Ida in New Jersey and New York. In addition, the Company experienced favorable development of approximately $5 million on prior years' catastrophe losses in 2021. The following is information about incurred and paid claims development as of December 31, 2023, net of reinsurance, as well as cumulative claim frequency and the total of incurred-but-not-reported liabilities plus expected development on reported claims included within the net incurred claims amounts for our two major product lines: automobile and homeowners lines of business. As the information presented is for these two major product lines only, the total incurred and paid claims development shown below does not correspond to the aggregate development presented in the table above, which is for all product lines and includes unallocated claims adjustment expenses. The cumulative number of reported claims represents open claims, claims closed with payment, and claims closed without payment. It does not include an estimated amount for unreported claims. The number of claims is measured by claim event (such as a car accident or storm damage) and an individual claim event may result in more than one reported claim. The Company considers a claim that does not result in a liability as a claim closed without payment. The information about incurred and paid claims development for the years ended December 31, 2014 to 2022 is presented as unaudited supplementary information. Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Automobile Insurance) As of December 31, 2023 Total of Incurred But Not Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims Accident Year For the Years Ended December 31, 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (1) 2022 (1) 2023 (Amounts in thousands) (Amounts in thousands) 2014 $ 1,467,175 $ 1,454,366 $ 1,473,545 $ 1,486,322 $ 1,498,504 $ 1,501,075 $ 1,501,713 $ 1,501,850 $ 1,502,161 $ 1,502,313 $ 58 180 2015 1,551,105 1,588,443 1,610,839 1,634,435 1,645,950 1,649,170 1,653,878 1,654,843 1,655,267 336 170 2016 1,672,853 1,669,642 1,713,696 1,731,997 1,732,410 1,740,807 1,743,417 1,745,513 2,544 155 2017 1,703,857 1,727,277 1,741,825 1,733,425 1,748,289 1,755,702 1,754,356 4,910 149 2018 1,781,817 1,773,502 1,785,071 1,806,240 1,807,297 1,811,302 12,992 147 2019 1,916,269 1,911,268 1,959,262 1,954,151 1,951,924 22,464 148 2020 1,514,551 1,448,083 1,452,343 1,430,973 36,124 91 2021 1,811,064 1,879,751 1,854,319 96,072 104 2022 2,255,032 2,264,193 238,987 116 2023 2,349,659 673,888 100 Total $ 18,319,819 __________ (1) The information for the years 2014 to 2022 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Automobile Insurance) For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (1) 2022 (1) 2023 (Amounts in thousands) 2014 $ 967,481 $ 1,231,413 $ 1,358,472 $ 1,432,472 $ 1,476,944 $ 1,490,366 $ 1,496,814 $ 1,500,243 $ 1,501,483 $ 1,502,305 2015 1,040,253 1,336,223 1,466,368 1,560,480 1,614,188 1,634,780 1,643,443 1,651,465 1,654,069 2016 1,094,006 1,395,199 1,554,217 1,656,192 1,699,069 1,722,293 1,736,697 1,740,902 2017 1,076,079 1,399,202 1,561,850 1,648,328 1,701,298 1,733,196 1,746,147 2018 1,082,127 1,417,637 1,588,049 1,697,228 1,757,923 1,784,876 2019 1,134,859 1,494,342 1,698,121 1,828,410 1,896,186 2020 825,398 1,089,096 1,242,000 1,328,686 2021 992,705 1,410,748 1,599,756 2022 1,237,725 1,743,364 2023 1,313,943 Total $ 16,310,234 All outstanding liabilities before 2014, net of reinsurance 10 Loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserves, net of reinsurance $ 2,009,595 __________ (1) The information for the years 2014 to 2022 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. Incurred Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Homeowners Insurance) As of December 31, 2023 Total of Incurred But Not Reported Liabilities Plus Expected Development on Reported Claims Cumulative Number of Reported Claims Accident Year For the Years Ended December 31, 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (1) 2022 (1) 2023 (Amounts in thousands) (Amounts in thousands) 2014 $ 199,298 $ 202,621 $ 203,218 $ 202,513 $ 204,986 $ 208,003 $ 208,743 $ 209,622 $ 209,071 $ 208,990 $ — 25 2015 234,800 234,881 233,501 236,855 238,652 239,941 240,927 237,872 237,994 150 24 2016 250,691 259,489 259,497 259,708 260,496 259,984 259,722 259,701 48 24 2017 309,491 295,163 288,322 289,869 289,294 291,360 290,909 227 30 2018 311,798 308,361 310,695 305,292 306,347 308,345 3,131 25 2019 359,643 366,139 361,421 360,609 360,140 1,278 30 2020 420,257 411,404 413,882 411,408 5,728 29 2021 510,724 511,311 504,086 11,687 31 2022 578,489 562,562 23,284 30 2023 717,988 147,258 39 Total $ 3,862,123 __________ (1) The information for the years 2014 to 2022 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. Cumulative Paid Losses and Allocated Loss Adjustment Expenses, Net of Reinsurance (Homeowners Insurance) For the Years Ended December 31, Accident Year 2014 (1) 2015 (1) 2016 (1) 2017 (1) 2018 (1) 2019 (1) 2020 (1) 2021 (1) 2022 (1) 2023 (Amounts in thousands) 2014 $ 139,615 $ 186,996 $ 194,605 $ 198,758 $ 202,193 $ 203,333 $ 207,524 $ 207,801 $ 208,737 $ 208,866 2015 163,196 213,994 224,178 230,480 234,683 235,971 236,143 236,983 237,651 2016 173,537 234,215 245,878 253,919 256,642 258,477 259,045 259,875 2017 217,900 269,254 278,341 283,311 286,531 290,291 290,984 2018 213,038 271,534 286,658 294,099 300,742 303,053 2019 240,240 324,953 340,237 350,288 355,697 2020 271,208 365,910 386,297 395,412 2021 316,314 458,124 473,644 2022 339,242 501,075 2023 474,712 Total $ 3,500,969 All outstanding liabilities before 2014, net of reinsurance 1,044 Loss and allocated loss adjustment expense reserves, net of reinsurance $ 362,198 __________ (1) The information for the years 2014 to 2022 is presented as unaudited supplemental information. The following is unaudited supplementary information about average historical claims duration as of December 31, 2023. Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Automobile insurance 59.1 % 19.0 % 9.4 % 5.7 % 3.1 % 1.4 % 0.6 % 0.3 % 0.1 % 0.1 % Average Annual Percentage Payout of Incurred Claims by Age, Net of Reinsurance Years 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Homeowners insurance 66.8 % 23.0 % 4.1 % 2.4 % 1.5 % 0.8 % 0.6 % 0.3 % 0.4 % 0.1 % The reconciliation of the net incurred and paid claims development tables to the liability for claims and claim adjustment expenses in the consolidated balance sheets is as follows: Reconciliation of the Disclosure of Incurred and Paid Claims Development to the Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves December 31, 2023 (Amounts in thousands) Net outstanding liabilities Automobile insurance $ 2,009,595 Homeowners insurance 362,198 Other short-duration insurance lines 236,069 Loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, net of reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 2,607,862 Reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses Automobile insurance 27,528 Homeowners insurance 3,903 Other short-duration insurance lines 717 Total reinsurance recoverables on unpaid losses 32,148 Insurance lines other than short-duration 1,072 Unallocated claims adjustment expenses 144,620 145,692 Total gross loss and loss adjustment expense reserves $ 2,785,702 |