Dear Fellow Shareholders:
On behalf of all of us here at Value Line Funds, I hope this semi-annual report finds you and your families safe and well.
As we continue through these challenging times, know that our long-term commitment to you, our Fund shareholders, remains unchanged. As such, we are pleased to present you with this semi-annual report for Value Line Small Cap Opportunities Fund, Inc. and Value Line Asset Allocation Fund, Inc. (individually, a “Fund” and collectively, the “Funds”) for the six months ended September 30, 2021.
The semi-annual period was highlighted by each Fund being recognized for both its long-term performance and attractive risk and return profiles.
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Value Line Small Cap Opportunities Fund, Inc.* earned an overall four-star rating from Morningstar1,2 in the small growth category among 575 funds as of September 30, 2021 based on risk-adjusted returns. Morningstar gave the Fund an overall Risk rating of Low.i
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Value Line Asset Allocation Fund, Inc.* outpaced the category average return of its peers for the three-, five- and ten-year periods ended September 30, 2021 (allocation 50% to 70% equity category), as measured by Morningstar,1 and placed in the top 16% or better of funds in its peer category across each of these time periods. Additionally, the Fund earned an overall five-star rating from Morningstar2 in the allocation 50% to 70% equity category among 653 funds as of September 30, 2021 based on risk-adjusted returns. Morningstar gave the Fund an overall Return rating of High.ii
On the following pages, the Funds’ portfolio managers discuss the management of their respective Funds during the semi-annual period. The discussions highlight key factors influencing recent performance of the Funds. You will also find a schedule of investments and financial statements for each Fund.
Before reviewing the performance of your individual mutual fund investment, we encourage you to take a brief look at the major factors affecting the financial markets during the six months ended September 30, 2021, especially given the newsworthy events of the semi-annual period.
Economic Review
The U.S. economy increasingly re-opened during the semi-annual period, with a majority of Americans vaccinated for COVID-19 and lockdowns limited. However, the pandemic persisted, as the new, more contagious COVID-19 Delta variant led to heightened case counts, particularly in those areas of the country with lower vaccination rates, and break-through cases among those already vaccinated. These pandemic trends led the Center for Disease Control to renew its recommendations of mask wearing, especially indoors.
Still, the U.S. economy proved resilient. U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the second quarter of 2021 registered an annualized rate of 6.7%, an increase from the 6.3% annualized growth rate seen in the first quarter of the calendar year. The U.S. labor market also remained rather healthy. Non-farm payroll jobs posted an average monthly gain of 625,000 jobs from the end of March until the end of July 2021, though August and September were weaker, averaging 324,000 job gains each month. Jobless claims started the semi-annual period at a monthly clip of 742,000 but declined significantly to 324,000 in September. The U.S. unemployment rate fell from 6.0% at the beginning of March 2021 to 4.8% at the end of the semi-annual period.
Manufacturing was the strongest sector during the semi-annual period, with the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Survey reaching a reading of 64.7 at the start of the semi-annual period, well above the level widely considered to be a sign of expansion and, indeed, the highest level since December 1983. The ISM Manufacturing Survey averaged 61.1 for the semi-annual period overall. Even so, intransigent disruptions in the global supply chain, exacerbated by distribution bottlenecks, factory shutdowns, clogged container ship routes and a shortage of truck drivers, caused massive delays in the delivery of goods. Further, the supply chain was not prepared for the significant increase in demand, pent up during the pandemic and enabled by fiscal stimulus measures, both in the U.S. and globally. Services, the largest sector of the U.S. economy and most hard hit during the peak of the COVID-19 pandemic, similarly experienced a strong recovery during the semi-annual period. The ISM Services Index registered readings above 60 throughout, having fallen to 41.8 in April 2020, as Americans returned to restaurants, movies, sports stadiums, travel and more. The emergence of the Delta variant muted service sector activity somewhat, but an improvement trend remained intact.
The combination of strong consumer demand for goods and services along with a breakdown in the supply chain led to a significant increase in the overall U.S. inflation rate, with figures exceeding consensus estimates. For example, the Consumer Price Index began the semi-annual period at a year-over-year growth rate of 2.6% but was subsequently above the 5.0% level since May, with the latest available reading at the end of September 2021 registering 5.4%. U.S. Treasury rates rose modestly in the latter months of the semi-annual period, and some economists criticized the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) for maintaining its monetary policy accommodation rather than tightening its policy via interest rate hikes and/or asset purchase tapering in an effort to counteract increasing inflation. While acknowledging that upward price pressures have persisted longer than initially anticipated, the Fed has maintained that the higher inflation is “transitory” and should “move back down towards our 2% long-run objective on its own” as the supply chain disruptions ease, consumer demand declines from its frenzied pace and fiscal